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Te Ara Wāhine: Reoffending Reduction for Wāhine Māori

A culturally grounded 16-week intervention by Hoani Waititi Marae to reduce violent reoffending and support reintegration for wāhine Māori in West Auckland.

#maori-outcomes#reoffending-reduction#justice-reform#social-intervention#kaupapa-maori#funding-proposal#community-safety
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Te Ara Wāhine

High-Impact Violent Reoffending Reduction and Reintegration Intervention

FUNDING APPLICATION — Proceeds of Crime | Criminal Proceeds (Recovery) Act

Applicant: Hoani Waititi Marae, West Auckland
Programme Duration: 3 Years | 2025–2028
Total Investment Sought: $1,950,000
Te Ara Wāhine | Hoani Waititi Marae | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application | $1,950,000 over three years
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Executive Summary

Te Ara Wāhine — Programme Overview

Te Ara Wāhine is a culturally grounded, 16-week high-intensity intervention delivered by Hoani Waititi Marae that targets wāhine Māori at highest risk of violent reoffending. The programme intervenes at critical pre-custody and immediate post-release points to reduce violent crime, breaches, and re-imprisonment. Explicitly designed in alignment with Hōkai Rangi and Wāhine – E rere ana ki te pae hou.

25–35%
Reduction in reoffending & breaches
95+
Intensive participants over 3 years
$20,526
Average cost per participant
$258,400+
Estimated system cost avoided per prevented custodial sentence

Programme Details & Funding

Applicant
Hoani Waititi Marae
Target Cohort
Wāhine Māori — highest violent reoffending risk
Intervention
16-week intensive + triage tier
Intensive Participants
30/year | 95+ over 3 years
Year 1 Funding
$600,000
Year 2 Funding
$650,000
Year 3 Funding
$700,000
Total Investment
$1,950,000
Funding Source
Proceeds of Crime
Te Ara Wāhine | Hoani Waititi Marae | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application
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Organisational Capability

Hoani Waititi Marae — Who We Are & Programme History

Hoani Waititi Marae is one of Aotearoa's most recognised and enduring urban marae, located in West Auckland. For decades it has functioned as a hub of cultural identity, whānau wellbeing, and community-led intervention — at the intersection of kaupapa Māori values and practical community need.

Te Ara Wāhine is not a new programme — it is the integration of proven delivery streams already operating at the marae into a single, coordinated, accountable pathway.

"Hoani Waititi Marae does not need to build credibility with the communities this programme serves. That credibility is already established. Te Ara Wāhine channels it into a structured, outcome-accountable intervention."

Programme Domain Relevance to Te Ara Wāhine
Mēth Programme AOD/Methamphetamine Recovery High-risk behaviour change & stabilisation
Tikanga Programme Cultural Identity Restoration Foundation of behaviour & identity component
Restorative Justice Justice System Interface Court relationships; accountability processes
Kooti Rangatahi Youth Justice / Court Liaison Tikanga-based justice; improved Māori compliance
Whiti ki te Ora Tamariki & Whānau Wellbeing Wraparound whānau stabilisation; Navigator model
Family Non-Violence Programme Family Harm Reduction Addresses whānau-level drivers of violence
Te Ara Wāhine | Hoani Waititi Marae | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application
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Programme Positioning

The System Failure Being Addressed & Funding Alignment

The System Failure

Current responses to wāhine offending are fragmented across multiple services, with no single point of accountability. Wāhine are moved between providers receiving disconnected interventions that do not align to risk or behaviour change sequence.

Repeated crisis escalation
High breach rates
Reoffending and rapid re-imprisonment
Intergenerational harm to tamariki

The system currently delivers services. It does not deliver a controlled pathway that reduces violent harm. Te Ara Wāhine is designed to be that pathway.

Alignment with Proceeds of Crime Criteria

Criterion
How Te Ara Wāhine Satisfies It
Community Benefit
Reduces violent harm; strengthens whānau; reduces burden on Police, Courts, emergency services
Connection to Criminal Harm
Targets wāhine at highest violent crime risk and justice system cost
Harm Reduction
Measurable reductions in reoffending, breaches, custodial sentences
Māori Outcomes
Kaupapa Māori delivery; Hōkai Rangi & Ka Hikitia aligned; marae-based
Accountability
Single pathway; clear outcome targets; independent evaluation; quarterly reporting
Proceeds of crime funding directed to Te Ara Wāhine is a direct reinvestment of criminal harm into the communities most affected by it.
Made byBobr AI

Target Cohort & Evidence Base

Who This Programme Serves & Why This Model Works

Who This Programme Serves

Wāhine Māori with elevated risk of violent reoffending — including those with active engagement with Courts or Corrections, community-based sentences, recent release from custody, breach history, or high-risk environments.

ENTRY

High-risk for violent reoffending; active Courts/Corrections engagement; trauma, AOD, unstable housing, or non-compliance drivers

EXCLUSION

Acute clinical/inpatient care required beyond programme scope; safety thresholds cannot be met

EXIT

16-week pathway completed; behavioural stabilisation demonstrated; stable housing, employment, or support environment

Intensive pathway capped at 30 participants annually to maintain intervention quality.

Identity Restoration Theory — Five Constructs

Te Ara Wāhine is anchored in Identity Restoration Theory (IRT), which identifies five constructs required for sustainable desistance from offending.

1

Cultural Memory

Tikanga programmes reconnect wāhine with ancestral identity, te reo, whakapapa

2

Place Reconnection

Marae-based delivery links identity to community of care and belonging

3

Narrative Repair

Behaviour work transitions identity from 'offender' to parent and culture bearer

4

Communal Belonging

Whānau-centred engagement shifts participants to collective purpose

5

Agency Activation

Capability development restores autonomy and meaningful community participation

Te Ara Wāhine | Targeting High-Risk Violent Offending | Funding Application 2025
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Integrated Intervention Model

Two-Tier Structure & 16-Week Intensive Pathway

TIER 1 — Rapid Engagement & Triage

150–300 wāhine annually

1–3 session engagements providing risk screening, immediate safety stabilisation, warm connections to the marae, and structured intake into the intensive pathway where criteria are met.

TIER 2 — High-Intensity Intensive Pathway

30 wāhine annually

16-week structured, sequenced intervention for highest-risk participants. Single accountable pathway with one plan, one lead, all interventions aligned to risk reduction.

Weeks 1–3

RAPID STABILISATION

  • Safety planning
  • Emergency housing
  • Kai security
  • Crisis intervention
  • Whānau reconnection
  • Risk assessment
  • AOD & mental health connections
Weeks 4–10

BEHAVIOUR & ENVIRONMENT

  • Cultural identity work
  • Mauri regulation
  • Accountability-based behaviour change
  • Environmental risk reduction
  • Household stabilisation
Weeks 11–16

COMPLIANCE & TRANSITION

  • Court compliance
  • Routine building
  • Capability development
  • Exit planning
  • Structured step-down transition
Control Principle

One wāhine = one plan = one accountable lead. All interventions aligned to risk reduction. No duplication or unmanaged service delivery.

Te Ara Wāhine | Hoani Waititi Marae | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application
Made byBobr AI

Programme Components

Four Pillars of Intervention — Addressing the Drivers of Violent Harm

A
Stabilisation & Safety
Immediate support: kai, safe housing, daily structure
Crisis response and de-escalation
Connections to AOD, mental health, and victim support
Removing immediate crisis pressure reduces conditions that trigger conflict
B
Behaviour & Identity Reset
Tikanga-based programmes — wāhine identity and healing
Trauma-informed support: what happened to you, not what is wrong with you
Accountability and behaviour change anchored in cultural identity
Rebuilding identity reduces need to respond through harm
C
Capability & Daily Living
Cooking, preserving, household capability
Harakeke, fishing, gathering, whenua-based learning
First aid certification; driver licensing; work readiness
Building capability reduces reliance on unsafe environments
D
Reintegration & Anchoring
Housing pathways and placement support
Employment and training connections
Whānau reconnection + 6-month step-down post-intensive
Anchoring wāhine in stable environments prevents re-entry into cycles of violence
Driver of Harm
Intervention
Impact
Crisis & instability
Kai, housing, stabilisation
Reduced conflict & reactive harm
Trauma & reactivity
Tikanga & behavioural work
Improved emotional regulation
Household pressure
Life skills & capability
Reduced domestic stress
Unsafe environments
Housing & whānau reconnection
Reduced exposure to violence
Cultural disconnection
Identity restoration
Sustainable behaviour change
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Theory of Change

From Fragmented Services to a Controlled Pathway — and Beyond

Theory of Change — 5-stage flow

1
STABILISATION
Removes immediate crisis conditions
Mechanism Result
Reduced acute harm; safe entry into intervention
2
IDENTITY & BEHAVIOUR
Disrupts trauma-driven patterns through cultural and therapeutic work
Mechanism Result
Improved regulation; identity shift
3
CAPABILITY
Builds independence and structured daily living
Mechanism Result
Reduced environmental pressure; increased compliance
4
REINTEGRATION
Anchors change in stable environments and relationships
Mechanism Result
Sustained desistance; reduced re-imprisonment
5
STEP-DOWN
Maintains connection and accountability post-programme
Mechanism Result
Prevention of post-exit escalation

Structured Step-Down — No Clean Exit at Week 16

Phase 1
INTENSIVE CORE
Weeks 1–16
Full Navigator support; structured sessions; weekly accountability
Phase 2
STEP-DOWN
Months 5–8
Fortnightly Navigator check-ins; housing & employment monitoring; marae connection
Phase 3
COMMUNITY ANCHOR
Months 9–12
Monthly check-in; open-door marae access; peer connection to graduates
Phase 4
LONG-TERM FOLLOW-UP
12–24 months post-exit
Outcome data collection; re-entry pathway if risk re-emerges
"The marae's permanent community presence is the structural anchor for long-term stability."
Te Ara Wāhine | Hoani Waititi Marae | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application | Theory of Change
Made byBobr AI

Expected Outcomes & Measurement

Primary Outcomes, Targets, and Measurement Framework

Primary & Secondary Outcomes

  • Reduction in violent reoffending and victim harm
  • Reduction in reoffending and breach rates
  • Reduction in custodial sentences
  • Increased compliance with court and probation conditions
  • Improved housing stability
  • Reduced exposure to high-risk environments
  • Strengthened cultural identity and whānau reconnection
  • Reduced intergenerational harm to tamariki

TARGET: 25–35% Reduction in Reoffending & Breaches

Grounded in evidence from Te Kete Aronui, Hōkai Rangi implementations (Te Mana Wāhine Pathway, He Kete Oranga, Te Waireka), and Hoani Waititi's track record in Kooti Rangatahi and restorative justice.

Measurement Framework

Metric
Method
Timeframe
Reoffending rate
Police NIA & Corrections data pre/post
12 months post-exit
Breach rate
Corrections compliance vs comparison group
During programme + 6 months
Custodial sentences
Court sentencing records
12 months post-exit
Housing stability
Navigator records + housing provider data
Programme + 6 months
Compliance
Attendance and appointment records
Programme duration
Cultural identity
Kaupapa Māori self-assessment tool
Entry, midpoint, exit, 6-month follow-up
Independent evaluation contracted from Year 1. All data subject to Māori data sovereignty protocols.
Expected Outcomes & Measurement | Te Ara Wāhine | Project Funding Application
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Staffing Model

Roles, FTE, Requirements & Oversight

Role FTE Key Requirements
Programme Manager 1.0 Māori programme management; justice sector experience; tikanga competency
Lead Navigator (Boundary Spanner) 1.0 Justice system knowledge; trauma-informed practice; cultural authority; Courts/Corrections relationship
Navigator — Stabilisation 1.0 Housing, AOD, crisis response; frontline community experience
Navigator — Capability & Reintegration 0.8 (Y1–2) → 1.0 (Y3) Employment, training, life skills; whānau systems knowledge
Cultural & Behaviour Lead 1.0 Qualified tikanga practitioner; behaviour change training; trauma-informed; wāhine-specific practice
Kaumātua 0.3 Mandated cultural authority; tikanga oversight; governance role within programme
Programme Administrator 0.6 (Y1) → 0.8 (Y2–3) Data management; reporting; scheduling; participant records

Supervision & Oversight

  • Weekly team supervision — Programme Manager
  • Monthly external clinical supervision for Navigator roles
  • Quarterly Kaumātua review of cultural integrity and tikanga
  • Annual independent programme review against outcomes framework

Staff Safety

  • No solo home visits for high-risk participants in Weeks 1–3
  • Shared location protocols for all Navigator field work
  • De-escalation and incident response procedures — operations manual
  • Critical incident debrief within 24 hours of any safety event

BOUNDARY SPANNER — The Lead Navigator holds primary accountability for each participant's outcomes and manages all interfaces with Courts, Probation, and external providers. This role eliminates the gap where participants currently fall through.

Te Ara Wāhine | Staffing Model | Funding Application
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Budget & Value for Money

Three-Year Investment — $1,950,000 | Proceeds of Crime

YEAR 1 — $600,000

Personnel $270,000 (45%)
Participant Support $165,000 (27.5%)
Programme Delivery $80,000 (13.3%)
Evaluation & Reporting $30,000 (5%)
Overheads $35,000 (5.8%)
Contingency $20,000 (3.3%)
30 Intensive Participants

YEAR 2 — $650,000

Personnel $295,000
Participant Support $180,000
Programme Delivery $85,000
Evaluation & Reporting $35,000
Overheads $37,000
Contingency $18,000
30–35 Intensive Participants

YEAR 3 — $700,000

Personnel $320,000
Participant Support $195,000
Programme Delivery $90,000
Evaluation & Reporting $40,000
Overheads $38,000
Contingency $17,000
35 Intensive Participants
95+ participants | $1,950,000 total | $20,526 average cost per participant
$20,526
Average cost per intensive participant
$258,400+
Crown cost avoided per prevented custodial sentence
8–10
Custodial sentences to break even
>12:1
Target ROI ratio (conservative)
At $20,526 per participant, Te Ara Wāhine costs less than one-tenth of a single custodial sentence — while delivering sustained reductions in violent reoffending, breaches, and intergenerational harm.
Budget & Value for Money | Te Ara Wāhine | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application
Made byBobr AI

Risk Register

Key Risks, Likelihood, Impact & Mitigation

Risk Likelihood Impact Mitigation
Key staff departure MEDIUM HIGH Documented handover protocols; succession planning; competitive remuneration
Participant safety incident LOW–MED HIGH Trauma-informed risk assessment; graduated response; 24hr on-call Navigator; critical incident procedure
Corrections/Court relationship breakdown LOW HIGH Formal MOU with Ara Poutama; regular liaison meetings; Boundary Spanner as dedicated relationship holder
Participant non-engagement or attrition MEDIUM MEDIUM Flexible scheduling; whānau engagement; graduated sanctions; warm exit preserving re-entry option
Housing instability preventing engagement HIGH HIGH Emergency housing fund within budget; housing provider partnerships pre-established
Data breach or privacy incident LOW HIGH Māori data sovereignty protocols; secure case management; no data shared without consent
Intensive cohort below 30 participants LOW MEDIUM Active referral from 5+ sources; triage tier as pipeline; marae visibility drives self-referrals
Funder reporting non-compliance LOW MEDIUM Dedicated Administrator; quarterly reporting schedule; independent evaluator from Year 1
Pill Colour Legend:
Low Risk
Medium Risk
High Risk
Te Ara Wāhine | Hoani Waititi Marae | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application | Risk Register
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The Model is Proven.
The Need is Urgent.

Hoani Waititi Marae is Ready.

Te Ara Wāhine integrates proven delivery streams — AOD recovery, tikanga restoration, restorative justice, whānau wraparound, and capability building — into a single, marae-led, high-intensity pathway.

Wāhine Māori are overrepresented in the justice system not because of who they are, but because of the trauma they have endured and the fragmented systems that have failed them.

Funding Te Ara Wāhine through Proceeds of Crime is a direct and powerful reinvestment: taking resources generated by crime and returning them to the communities that have borne its greatest cost.

$1,950,000 over three years
To deliver safer communities, stronger whānau, and lasting change for wāhine Māori in West Auckland.
95+ Participants
25–35% Reoffending Reduction
>12:1 ROI
Te Ara Wāhine | Hoani Waititi Marae | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application
Made byBobr AI
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Te Ara Wāhine: Reoffending Reduction for Wāhine Māori

A culturally grounded 16-week intervention by Hoani Waititi Marae to reduce violent reoffending and support reintegration for wāhine Māori in West Auckland.

Te Ara Wāhine

High-Impact Violent Reoffending Reduction and Reintegration Intervention

FUNDING APPLICATION — Proceeds of Crime | Criminal Proceeds (Recovery) Act

Hoani Waititi Marae, West Auckland

3 Years | 2025–2028

$1,950,000

Te Ara Wāhine | Hoani Waititi Marae | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application | $1,950,000 over three years

Executive Summary

Te Ara Wāhine — Programme Overview

Te Ara Wāhine is a culturally grounded, 16-week high-intensity intervention delivered by Hoani Waititi Marae that targets wāhine Māori at highest risk of violent reoffending. The programme intervenes at critical pre-custody and immediate post-release points to reduce violent crime, breaches, and re-imprisonment. Explicitly designed in alignment with Hōkai Rangi and Wāhine – E rere ana ki te pae hou.

25–35%

Reduction in reoffending & breaches

95+

Intensive participants over 3 years

$20,526

Average cost per participant

$258,400+

Estimated system cost avoided per prevented custodial sentence

Applicant

Hoani Waititi Marae

Target Cohort

Wāhine Māori — highest violent reoffending risk

Intervention

16-week intensive + triage tier

Intensive Participants

30/year | 95+ over 3 years

Year 1 Funding

$600,000

Year 2 Funding

$650,000

Year 3 Funding

$700,000

Total Investment

$1,950,000

Funding Source

Proceeds of Crime

Te Ara Wāhine | Hoani Waititi Marae | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application

Organisational Capability

Hoani Waititi Marae — Who We Are & Programme History

Hoani Waititi Marae is one of Aotearoa's most recognised and enduring urban marae, located in West Auckland. For decades it has functioned as a hub of cultural identity, whānau wellbeing, and community-led intervention — at the intersection of kaupapa Māori values and practical community need.

Te Ara Wāhine is not a new programme — it is the integration of proven delivery streams already operating at the marae into a single, coordinated, accountable pathway.

"Hoani Waititi Marae does not need to build credibility with the communities this programme serves. That credibility is already established. Te Ara Wāhine channels it into a structured, outcome-accountable intervention."

Programme

Domain

Relevance to Te Ara Wāhine

Mēth Programme

AOD/Methamphetamine Recovery

High-risk behaviour change & stabilisation

Tikanga Programme

Cultural Identity Restoration

Foundation of behaviour & identity component

Restorative Justice

Justice System Interface

Court relationships; accountability processes

Kooti Rangatahi

Youth Justice / Court Liaison

Tikanga-based justice; improved Māori compliance

Whiti ki te Ora

Tamariki & Whānau Wellbeing

Wraparound whānau stabilisation; Navigator model

Family Non-Violence Programme

Family Harm Reduction

Addresses whānau-level drivers of violence

Te Ara Wāhine | Hoani Waititi Marae | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application

Programme Positioning

The System Failure Being Addressed & Funding Alignment

The System Failure

Current responses to wāhine offending are fragmented across multiple services, with no single point of accountability. Wāhine are moved between providers receiving disconnected interventions that do not align to risk or behaviour change sequence.

Repeated crisis escalation

High breach rates

Reoffending and rapid re-imprisonment

Intergenerational harm to tamariki

The system currently delivers services. It does not deliver a controlled pathway that reduces violent harm. Te Ara Wāhine is designed to be that pathway.

Alignment with Proceeds of Crime Criteria

Community Benefit

Reduces violent harm; strengthens whānau; reduces burden on Police, Courts, emergency services

Connection to Criminal Harm

Targets wāhine at highest violent crime risk and justice system cost

Harm Reduction

Measurable reductions in reoffending, breaches, custodial sentences

Māori Outcomes

Kaupapa Māori delivery; Hōkai Rangi & Ka Hikitia aligned; marae-based

Accountability

Single pathway; clear outcome targets; independent evaluation; quarterly reporting

Proceeds of crime funding directed to Te Ara Wāhine is a direct reinvestment of criminal harm into the communities most affected by it.

Target Cohort & Evidence Base

Who This Programme Serves & Why This Model Works

Who This Programme Serves

Wāhine Māori with elevated risk of violent reoffending — including those with active engagement with Courts or Corrections, community-based sentences, recent release from custody, breach history, or high-risk environments.

ENTRY

High-risk for violent reoffending; active Courts/Corrections engagement; trauma, AOD, unstable housing, or non-compliance drivers

EXCLUSION

Acute clinical/inpatient care required beyond programme scope; safety thresholds cannot be met

EXIT

16-week pathway completed; behavioural stabilisation demonstrated; stable housing, employment, or support environment

Intensive pathway capped at 30 participants annually to maintain intervention quality.

Identity Restoration Theory — Five Constructs

Te Ara Wāhine is anchored in Identity Restoration Theory (IRT), which identifies five constructs required for sustainable desistance from offending.

Cultural Memory

Tikanga programmes reconnect wāhine with ancestral identity, te reo, whakapapa

Place Reconnection

Marae-based delivery links identity to community of care and belonging

Narrative Repair

Behaviour work transitions identity from 'offender' to parent and culture bearer

Communal Belonging

Whānau-centred engagement shifts participants to collective purpose

Agency Activation

Capability development restores autonomy and meaningful community participation

Te Ara Wāhine | Targeting High-Risk Violent Offending | Funding Application 2025

Integrated Intervention Model

Two-Tier Structure & 16-Week Intensive Pathway

TIER 1 — Rapid Engagement & Triage

150–300 wāhine annually

1–3 session engagements providing risk screening, immediate safety stabilisation, warm connections to the marae, and structured intake into the intensive pathway where criteria are met.

TIER 2 — High-Intensity Intensive Pathway

30 wāhine annually

16-week structured, sequenced intervention for highest-risk participants. Single accountable pathway with one plan, one lead, all interventions aligned to risk reduction.

<ul style="margin: 0; padding-left: 24px;"> <li style="margin-bottom: 6px;">Safety planning</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 6px;">Emergency housing</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 6px;">Kai security</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 6px;">Crisis intervention</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 6px;">Whānau reconnection</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 6px;">Risk assessment</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 0;">AOD & mental health connections</li> </ul>

<ul style="margin: 0; padding-left: 24px;"> <li style="margin-bottom: 6px;">Cultural identity work</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 6px;">Mauri regulation</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 6px;">Accountability-based behaviour change</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 6px;">Environmental risk reduction</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 0;">Household stabilisation</li> </ul>

<ul style="margin: 0; padding-left: 24px;"> <li style="margin-bottom: 6px;">Court compliance</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 6px;">Routine building</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 6px;">Capability development</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 6px;">Exit planning</li> <li style="margin-bottom: 0;">Structured step-down transition</li> </ul>

One wāhine = one plan = one accountable lead. All interventions aligned to risk reduction. No duplication or unmanaged service delivery.

Te Ara Wāhine | Hoani Waititi Marae | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application

Programme Components

Four Pillars of Intervention — Addressing the Drivers of Violent Harm

Stabilisation & Safety

Immediate support: kai, safe housing, daily structure

Crisis response and de-escalation

Connections to AOD, mental health, and victim support

Removing immediate crisis pressure reduces conditions that trigger conflict

Behaviour & Identity Reset

Tikanga-based programmes — wāhine identity and healing

Trauma-informed support: what happened to you, not what is wrong with you

Accountability and behaviour change anchored in cultural identity

Rebuilding identity reduces need to respond through harm

Capability & Daily Living

Cooking, preserving, household capability

Harakeke, fishing, gathering, whenua-based learning

First aid certification; driver licensing; work readiness

Building capability reduces reliance on unsafe environments

Reintegration & Anchoring

Housing pathways and placement support

Employment and training connections

Whānau reconnection + 6-month step-down post-intensive

Anchoring wāhine in stable environments prevents re-entry into cycles of violence

Driver of Harm

Intervention

Impact

Crisis & instability

Kai, housing, stabilisation

Reduced conflict & reactive harm

Trauma & reactivity

Tikanga & behavioural work

Improved emotional regulation

Household pressure

Life skills & capability

Reduced domestic stress

Unsafe environments

Housing & whānau reconnection

Reduced exposure to violence

Cultural disconnection

Identity restoration

Sustainable behaviour change

Theory of Change

From Fragmented Services to a Controlled Pathway — and Beyond

STABILISATION

Removes immediate crisis conditions

Reduced acute harm; safe entry into intervention

IDENTITY & BEHAVIOUR

Disrupts trauma-driven patterns through cultural and therapeutic work

Improved regulation; identity shift

CAPABILITY

Builds independence and structured daily living

Reduced environmental pressure; increased compliance

REINTEGRATION

Anchors change in stable environments and relationships

Sustained desistance; reduced re-imprisonment

STEP-DOWN

Maintains connection and accountability post-programme

Prevention of post-exit escalation

Structured Step-Down — No Clean Exit at Week 16

INTENSIVE CORE

Weeks 1–16

Full Navigator support; structured sessions; weekly accountability

STEP-DOWN

Months 5–8

Fortnightly Navigator check-ins; housing & employment monitoring; marae connection

COMMUNITY ANCHOR

Months 9–12

Monthly check-in; open-door marae access; peer connection to graduates

LONG-TERM FOLLOW-UP

12–24 months post-exit

Outcome data collection; re-entry pathway if risk re-emerges

The marae's permanent community presence is the structural anchor for long-term stability.

Te Ara Wāhine | Hoani Waititi Marae | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application | Theory of Change

Expected Outcomes & Measurement

Primary Outcomes, Targets, and Measurement Framework

Primary & Secondary Outcomes

Reduction in violent reoffending and victim harm

Reduction in reoffending and breach rates

Reduction in custodial sentences

Increased compliance with court and probation conditions

Improved housing stability

Reduced exposure to high-risk environments

Strengthened cultural identity and whānau reconnection

Reduced intergenerational harm to tamariki

25–35% Reduction in Reoffending & Breaches

Grounded in evidence from Te Kete Aronui, Hōkai Rangi implementations (Te Mana Wāhine Pathway, He Kete Oranga, Te Waireka), and Hoani Waititi's track record in Kooti Rangatahi and restorative justice.

Measurement Framework

Metric

Method

Timeframe

Reoffending rate

Police NIA & Corrections data pre/post

12 months post-exit

Breach rate

Corrections compliance vs comparison group

During programme + 6 months

Custodial sentences

Court sentencing records

12 months post-exit

Housing stability

Navigator records + housing provider data

Programme + 6 months

Compliance

Attendance and appointment records

Programme duration

Cultural identity

Kaupapa Māori self-assessment tool

Entry, midpoint, exit, 6-month follow-up

Independent evaluation contracted from Year 1. All data subject to Māori data sovereignty protocols.

Expected Outcomes & Measurement | Te Ara Wāhine | Project Funding Application

Staffing Model

Roles, FTE, Requirements & Oversight

Role

FTE

Key Requirements

Programme Manager

1.0

Māori programme management; justice sector experience; tikanga competency

Lead Navigator (Boundary Spanner)

1.0

Justice system knowledge; trauma-informed practice; cultural authority; Courts/Corrections relationship

Navigator — Stabilisation

1.0

Housing, AOD, crisis response; frontline community experience

Navigator — Capability & Reintegration

0.8 (Y1–2) → 1.0 (Y3)

Employment, training, life skills; whānau systems knowledge

Cultural & Behaviour Lead

1.0

Qualified tikanga practitioner; behaviour change training; trauma-informed; wāhine-specific practice

Kaumātua

0.3

Mandated cultural authority; tikanga oversight; governance role within programme

Programme Administrator

0.6 (Y1) → 0.8 (Y2–3)

Data management; reporting; scheduling; participant records

Supervision & Oversight

Weekly team supervision — Programme Manager

Monthly external clinical supervision for Navigator roles

Quarterly Kaumātua review of cultural integrity and tikanga

Annual independent programme review against outcomes framework

Staff Safety

No solo home visits for high-risk participants in Weeks 1–3

Shared location protocols for all Navigator field work

De-escalation and incident response procedures — operations manual

Critical incident debrief within 24 hours of any safety event

BOUNDARY SPANNER

The Lead Navigator holds primary accountability for each participant's outcomes and manages all interfaces with Courts, Probation, and external providers. This role eliminates the gap where participants currently fall through.

Te Ara Wāhine | Staffing Model | Funding Application

Budget & Value for Money

Three-Year Investment — $1,950,000 | Proceeds of Crime

YEAR 1 — $600,000

YEAR 2 — $650,000

YEAR 3 — $700,000

Personnel

Participant Support

Programme Delivery

Evaluation & Reporting

Overheads

Contingency

$270,000 (45%)

$165,000 (27.5%)

$80,000 (13.3%)

$30,000 (5%)

$35,000 (5.8%)

$20,000 (3.3%)

30 Intensive Participants

$295,000

$180,000

$85,000

$35,000

$37,000

$18,000

30–35 Intensive Participants

$320,000

$195,000

$90,000

$40,000

$38,000

$17,000

35 Intensive Participants

95+ participants

$1,950,000 total

$20,526 average cost per participant

$20,526

Average cost per intensive participant

$258,400+

Crown cost avoided per prevented custodial sentence

8–10

Custodial sentences to break even

>12:1

Target ROI ratio (conservative)

At $20,526 per participant, Te Ara Wāhine costs less than one-tenth of a single custodial sentence — while delivering sustained reductions in violent reoffending, breaches, and intergenerational harm.

Budget & Value for Money | Te Ara Wāhine | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application

Risk Register

Key Risks, Likelihood, Impact & Mitigation

Te Ara Wāhine | Hoani Waititi Marae | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application | Risk Register

The Model is Proven.<br>The Need is Urgent.

Hoani Waititi Marae is Ready.

Te Ara Wāhine integrates proven delivery streams — AOD recovery, tikanga restoration, restorative justice, whānau wraparound, and capability building — into a single, marae-led, high-intensity pathway.

Wāhine Māori are overrepresented in the justice system not because of who they are, but because of the trauma they have endured and the fragmented systems that have failed them.

Funding Te Ara Wāhine through Proceeds of Crime is a direct and powerful reinvestment: taking resources generated by crime and returning them to the communities that have borne its greatest cost.

$1,950,000 over three years

To deliver safer communities, stronger whānau, and lasting change for wāhine Māori in West Auckland.

95+ Participants

25–35% Reoffending Reduction

>12:1 ROI

Te Ara Wāhine | Hoani Waititi Marae | Proceeds of Crime Funding Application

  • maori-outcomes
  • reoffending-reduction
  • justice-reform
  • social-intervention
  • kaupapa-maori
  • funding-proposal
  • community-safety